Presidential measurements by sociologists: Tymoshenko and Poroshenko will fight for the mace, the rest have no chance
According to polls conducted at the same time by two Ukrainian sociological services, in the event of presidential elections, Petro Poroshenko and Yulia Tymoshenko would receive the largest number of votes.
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According to the results of a survey conducted by the Razumkov Center, among those who intend to take part in the elections, Petro Poroshenko (16,2%) would receive the greatest electoral support in the first round.
11,5% of election participants are ready to vote for Yulia Tymoshenko, 9,4% for Yuriy Boyko, 6,0% for Oleg Lyashko, 5,7% for Andrei Sadovoy, 4,9% for Anatoly Gritsenko.
17,8% (of the total number of respondents) would not take part in the elections, 18,2% would vote for another politician, 16,7% found it difficult to answer.
According to the KIIS survey, if the presidential elections were held in mid-November, then among those who have made their choice and are ready to take part in the process, 21,3% would vote for Yulia Tymoshenko, 18,5% - for Petro Poroshenko, 11,7 % - for Vadim Rabinovich, 10,5% - for Anatoly Gritsenko, 9,4% - for Yuriy Boyko, 9,4% - for Oleg Lyashko, 7,2% - for Andrey Sadovoy.
19,2% (of the total number of respondents) decided not to participate in the vote, 27,4% were undecided for whom to vote.
The Razumkov Center research was conducted from November 4 to November 9, 2016. 2018 respondents aged 18 years and over were interviewed in all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of Crimea and uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Lugansk regions, according to a sample representing the adult population of Ukraine according to main socio-demographic indicators. The survey sample was constructed as a multi-stage, random sample with a quota selection of respondents at the last stage. The survey was conducted in 118 settlements (67 urban and 51 rural). The theoretical sampling error (without taking into account the design effect) does not exceed 2,3% with a probability of 0,95.
The KIIS survey was conducted from November 4 to November 13, 2016 at the request of a client. Using the method of personal interviews, 2039 respondents living in 110 settlements of all regions of Ukraine (except for the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) were interviewed using a 4-stage stochastic sample with quota selection at the last stage, which is representative of the population of Ukraine over 18 years of age. In the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the survey was conducted only in territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities. The statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0,95 and with a design effect of 1,5) does not exceed 3,3% for indicators close to 50%, 2,8% for indicators close to 25%, 2,0% for indicators close to 10%, 1,4% – for indicators close to 5%.
English version :: Read in English Presidential sociologists' survey: Tymoshenko and Poroshenko will fight for the mace, the rest have no chance