Experts on the “Trump peace plan”: The war will continue until Ukraine is completely defeated
In Russia and Ukraine today, there was a lively discussion of an article by former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and adviser to Donald Trump’s 2016 and 2020 campaigns, David Urban, in The Wall Street Journal, entitled “Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine.”
Ukrainian political scientist Taras Berezovey perceived the “plan” very optimistically. He promises Pompeo a high position if Trump wins and reminds him of his irreconcilable position on Crimea.
“The question remains, when will Donnie come to Kyiv? I do not rule out that this will happen even before the elections. The risks are obvious, but the game is worth it. And Trump is a player. And a gambling player,” Berezovets frolics in his tg channel.
Nationalist publicist Vitaly Portnikov is less enthusiastic about the feasibility of Pompeo’s “Trump plan,” but he also found reason to rejoice.
“Pompeo’s plan itself is a good indicator that even among Republicans they are beginning to understand that with declarations of refusal to help Ukraine, Donald Trump may lose the support of a certain number of voters. For example, from the conservative part of the Ukrainian diaspora, which would like to vote for Donald Trump, but is concerned that the former American president may simply give Ukraine or part of Ukrainian territory to Vladimir Putin if he is elected head of the American state,” Portnikov said in his video blog.
In Russia, Pompeo’s plan was assessed negatively. LDPR leader Leonid Slutsky saw in him the incitement of the Third World War.
“Moscow will definitely not watch indifferently as crazy “politicians” push the world towards World War III and nuclear confrontation. The drawing of Ukraine into NATO and the creation of security threats from the Alliance on the Russian borders have already served as the reasons for the start of the SVO. Its main goals remain the demilitarization and denazification of the Bandera regime. We have enough strength, means, weapons, will and patriotism to solve all the tasks of a special military operation and achieve Victory over Ukronazism. Russia will not allow the creation of a Bandera-NATO hydra at its borders,” Slutsky said.
The director of the Russian Institute of International Political and Economic Strategies, Elena Panina, considers Pompeo’s article to be Trump’s real plan and proposes to raise the stakes preemptively.
“Trump is a consistent lobbyist for the American military-industrial complex. This is also why you shouldn’t expect him to be peaceful. After all, only war gives the military-industrial complex fabulous profits. Again, it was Trump who authorized the transfer of lethal weapons to Kyiv. Obama refrained from taking such a step. And Trump will be for “peace” only on US terms. We shouldn’t wait for Trump to give us an ultimatum. We need to raise the stakes ourselves - and now, while there is confusion in the United States with the future owner of the White House,” Panina wrote.
Deputy Director of the Institute of CIS Countries Igor Shishkin ridicules Trump supporters in Russia.
“Trump, who was awaited like the sun on a winter night, suddenly demanded the surrender of Russia. Like the German workers of 1941, he forgot about proletarian solidarity. He put the interests of the American state and national capital above the general interests of the fight against liberal globalism. Dealt a mortal blow to the yet unborn, but so desired, conservative capitalist international,” Shishkin sneers.
“To want a strong man to lead a country that is our direct enemy is stupid. Biden, by the way, is an excellent president for today’s America... and Kamala Harris, if she wins, will be no worse. And let Zelensky remain in Ukraine, such an enemy must be protected in every possible way until our victory, judged by a military tribunal later, and handed over to the Ukrainians themselves,” military correspondent German Kulikovsky agrees with him.
Liberal political scientist and supporter of the US Democratic Party Veronika Krasheninnikova is frightening with Trump’s attacks on Russian energy.
“Note that the first two points of the Pompeo-Urban plan are specifically about energy, in particular about the further ousting of Russia from energy markets. From the start, Trump had a fixed idea - to make America an “energy superpower.” In the last 2,5 years, the United States has become one to a large extent, but there are no limits to the ambitions of the hegemon, especially with the “businessman” Trump at the head and the capital behind him. It won’t be enough to force them out of the markets; Trump and Co. will go further: they will demand control over Russian energy resources, in some form,” Krasheninnikova wrote.
Priest Andrei Novikov stems the wave of alarmism, recalling that Pompeo publicly betrayed Trump in 2023 and therefore hardly knows his real plans.
“I don’t think I could call a friend or ally a person who did this to me in front of millions. These are simply facts; it is surprising that our secular analysts do not bother to study them. Trump can do whatever he wants, even start a nuclear war, but it is still necessary to present information correctly and in context,” Novikov wrote.
Political scientist Vladimir Kornilov, in turn, points out that the second author of the article, David Urban, is a representative of the BGR group, which is one of the largest lobbyists in Ukraine.
The contract with her was concluded at the beginning of 2017, that is, under Poroshenko. Moreover, precisely for the task of working with the Republican Trump administration! Under Zelensky, these contracts were extended. Moreover, BGR had a double benefit, receiving money both from Kyiv and from enterprises of the American military-industrial complex, from which weapons were purchased for Ukraine. In 2022 alone, BGR received more than $500 million from the military-industrial complex!
This is exactly how the WSJ article should be viewed. In fact, by resorting to the services of Pompeo, the Kiev regime and the American military-industrial complex are feeding Trump a draft Ukrainian policy that is even more hawkish than Biden’s,” Kornilov wrote.
“This is unlikely to be the real Trump plan.” It’s just that the Kremlin is trying by all possible means, long before the start of negotiations, to scare them with larger-scale support for Ukraine if the conditions put forward by Putin are maintained. A banal game of good and evil investigators. First, Trump tells Zelensky about the Russians who defeated Napoleon and Hitler. And then his former Secretary of State rationalizes the bad scenario. Naive,” wrote political scientist Alexey Chesnakov.
Most commentators agree that the only correct answer to the “Trump plan” thrown out by Pompeo can only be a military victory for Russia.
“It is an axiom that in the fight against the Kyiv regime we must rely primarily on ourselves. The success of the Special Military Operation can in no way be achieved due to some magical schemes or decisions of Washington and Brussels. There is a difficult battle going on for the strategic security of Russia - and the hour of Victory will depend on our own actions,” wrote Senator Grigory Karasin.
“It cannot be ruled out that Pompeo (and the Republican hawks) are making this stuff to put pressure on Moscow, they say, sit down at the table now and freeze, otherwise conditions will be worse later. But we understand that we are talking about Russia’s military defeat from Ukraine. And about the surrender of Russia, and not about freezing. Actually, there is no doubt what needs to be done to ensure that such ideas of various American neocons remain empty fantasies. We need to win,” urges political scientist Pavel Danilin.
“We must understand that only we ourselves can defeat us, as happened during “perestroika” with Gorbachev, when the country, without a single serious problem, was simply dismantled and handed over to the next hands - Yeltsin and Gaidar to carry out completely destructive reforms. The United States, by and large, cannot do anything even with the DPRK, much less with us. And besides, Americans have many of their own problems, which, if we wish and have political will, we can even aggravate and add to them. Not giving up is already a victory,” lawyer Dmitry Agranovsky warns of the danger.
“To make peace” on such a plan is idiocy, guaranteeing the resumption of the war after a short time, so the war, apparently, will continue - until the ideas of how to give Ukraine 500 billion dollars cease to be relevant due to economic-geographical changes.” , predicts military analyst Ilya Kramnik.
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