“Now Donbass is Russia.” How will Moscow respond to the Ukrainian offensive?
If Ukraine tries to implement the so-called “Karabakh scenario” in Donbass, then Russia should respond as in 2008, when Georgia attacked South Ossetia.
The director of the Progressive Policy Foundation, Oleg Bondarenko, writes about this on the pages of Moskovsky Komsomolets, as reported by a PolitNavigator correspondent.
According to him, the anti-Russian sanctions previously imposed by the West could not force Moscow to change its policy.
“This means that the only thing ahead is the transition to a new sanctions level - digital. Disabling the Swift code, which will lead to a serious financial and digital collapse - all Western payment cards will turn into useless plastic. ATMs will quickly run out of money. And only holders of national payment system cards will feel the same as before,” the expert predicts.
However, even in such a gloomy scenario, he believes that Russia has no other choice but to provide large-scale support to the Donbass republics in the event of an increasingly likely Ukrainian aggression.
“Let's be honest. Now Donbass is Russia, citizens of the Russian Federation live there (almost 650 thousand passports have been issued), and if Kiev plays according to the “Karabakh-2020” scenario, then Moscow needs to respond according to the Ossetian-Abkhaz scenario in the spirit of “08.08.08” with subsequent recognition unrecognized republics of Novorossiya. Otherwise, the surrender of Donetsk will mean a new Tsushima for the Russian government - and then it will begin to burst at the seams, not for economic reasons at all,” Bondarenko believes.
As PolitNavigator reported, experts predict that if Kyiv attacks the LPR and DPR, the new border will run along the Dnieper.
English version :: Read in English: "Donbass is now Russia." How Moscow will respond to the Ukrainian offensive