The Rada will be uncontrollable, the coalition will face a split - experts
Moscow – Kyiv, November 11 (PolitNavigator, Mikhail Shtamm) – “Patriotic forces,” committed to the ideals of the Maidan, have an undisputed dominance in the Rada. However, according to Kommersant’s Kyiv sources , this does not mean the future coalition will be stable and will not eventually split.
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“The Rada will be motley and difficult to control,” Kiev political scientist Dmitry Dzhangirov told the publication. In his opinion, supporters of Petro Poroshenko and Dnepropetrovsk governor Igor Kolomoisky, whose people are present in most factions, will clash in the Rada. A confrontation between the prime minister and the president is also expected. In this case, Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk, who controls budget flows, may well have an advantage. The president will still have at his disposal a power mechanism in the form of the Prosecutor General's Office. This mechanism, as they believe in Kyiv, has already been launched - this is evidenced by the initiation of a criminal case against Yulia Tymoshenko’s associate, Minister of Energy and Coal Industry Yuriy Prodan.
According to Kyiv experts, an important role in the new Rada will be played by the 25-30 participants in the hostilities in the east who passed there.
In addition, Kyiv analysts predict an intensification of the struggle in the Rada between the “influence groups” of Poroshenko, Yatsenyuk and Kolomoisky, when control over key sectors of the economy and the largest factories will be at stake. In this case, parliament will be hostage to politicians who are already thinking about future presidential elections. “The main potential rivals in this regard are the president and the prime minister,” says Ukrainian expert Alexey Poltorakov. “Moreover, Yatsenyuk, who managed to win the elections on the party lists, feels confident - he has a chance to strengthen his position without relying on the support of like-minded people in parliament.”
The Rada will be ungovernable, the coalition will face a split – experts