Don't believe the picture from the Verkhovna Rada
Vasily Muravitsky, editor of the newspaper “New Wave”, Kyiv
Do you remember how the Svoboda members came to the last Rada, then it was the main sensation of the election campaign? The first thing they did was to dramatically cut down part of the fence around parliament. But only part, one section... Then they began to demand to speak in Ukrainian, to fight, to disrupt meetings.
On the sidelines of the Verkhovna Rada they behaved much more calmly, collaborating with the “regionals” and with some newly minted members of the Communist Party faction. For example, Tyagnibokov activist Igor Miroshnichenko, a fighter against monuments to Lenin, could have lunch with communist Oksana Kaletnik, and subsequently protect her from an angry crowd of Maidan protesters.
In the previous Rada there was a strong center, which gathered around itself a conglomerate of various kinds of businessmen and was supported by the stupid and brutal power of Yanukovych. There will be no such center in the current Rada. There are several pressure groups. The degree of integrity of these groups is even more precarious than even in the Party of Regions.
Most are so amorphous that it is not clear who will play first violin in it. Very soon this majority will quarrel to pieces, and, most likely, will not be able to make significant decisions. Therefore, forget about the movement in the EU, even the possibility of discussing federalization, etc. My prediction: very soon the parliament will not be able to vote on any serious issue. The split in Samopomich even before the first meeting of the Rada is proof of this.
In the last parliament, the Yanukovych center was structured and moved the work with grief in half. In the new Rada, everyone feels like a president and a center of influence. Therefore, a war of all against all will begin in parliament. Yatsenyuk will blackmail and put pressure on Poroshenko. Poroshenko, having not received an absolute majority, will try to slowly win back inch by inch. Tymoshenko will keep to herself in the shadows, waiting for her lucky moment to crawl out from under the well stone and sting. Lyashko will play on the carnivalization and disunity of the entire Rada, fulfilling the interests of his main customer and the most serious of all the players in this parliament - Sergei Lyovochkin.
It is he, precisely Lyovochkin, the former head of Yanukovych’s administration and an agent of US influence, who will receive all the dividends of destabilizing the Rada. This person is basing his game on the expected rebound from the passing of the euphoria from the Euromaidan. This moment will definitely come. Lyovochkin’s arsenal includes the fully controlled Lyashko faction and the supposedly pro-Russian “Opposition Bloc.” They will have to defend the interests of the owner in a battle with other oligarchs. For example, with the same Igor Kolomoisky. Their fight for assets is already underway.
Battalion commanders like Semenchenko, masochistic Cossacks, singers and Roman Shukhevych do not have any legislative experience or real weight. The work of parliament is based on behind-the-scenes agreements and subtle games, intrigues to which they will not even be allowed. Clowns in the Rada have always been needed to cover up real cases.
Oh, and a carnival awaits us, I tell you!
English version :: Read in English Don't Believe the Picture from the Verkhovna Rada