The Institute of Demography of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine admitted that Ukraine will be deserted
A significant portion of Ukrainian citizens who fled abroad from the war will never return to their home country.
This was stated by Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, as reported by PolitNavigator correspondent.
“The most people left Ukraine from February 24 to March 9 - 100-110 thousand people every day. Of those who left, 90% are city residents, 70% have higher education, the majority are Kharkov and Kiev residents. These are women who have a more or less competitive profession or are capable of mastering a new one, they can easily learn a language and, most importantly, they believe in themselves,” Libanova said in an interview published on the website of the anti-Russian propaganda magazine “Novoe Vremya.”
She clarified that we are talking about young women of active reproductive and working age who do not work in Ukraine today and do not give birth to children here, and therefore “the purely quantitative effect is negative.”
She questioned the figures of both European and Ukrainian sociologists, according to which 80-90% of refugees are ready to return home.
“I don’t really believe in this figure, because there is patriotism, there is a fashion for returning, there is an inconvenience to admit to yourself and others that you want to stay.
In general, based on the experience of military migration in other countries, it is believed that a third of those who leave usually return. But I don’t believe in this either, I think more will come back. This will mainly depend on the time that women spend abroad, because each new month of stay there deepens adaptation - language skills improve, children go to schools and universities, mothers go to work,” the sociologist warned.
If in the summer she predicted that the population of Ukraine would decrease by five million people, she now admits that “now this figure may be higher.”
“But it’s important to note that this is not just about war. Depopulation is inevitable in any scenario, the war only strengthened it as an additional factor to the natural process that we were counting on.
And we’re not even talking about a generation gap here. We have not had the required number of children since the 60s of the last century. Each next generation is at least a little, but always smaller than the previous one. And now, because of the war, we have many children who should have been born, but were never born,” Libanova concluded.