Arestovich told how Russia can attack Ukraine and avoid sanctions
An attack on Ukraine through Belarus will allow Moscow to act within the framework of the Union State and avoid, if not all, then many international sanctions.
Aleksey Arestovich, ex-adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, said this on the air of a video blog of the Russian ex-lawyer deprived of his license, Mark Feigin, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“If I were in Putin’s place, and I needed to create a mess of any scale around Ukraine, I would do everything to make sure it was a Ukrainian-Belarusian mess. Something like “the evil Ukrainians fired at the unfortunate Belarusian territory, the Belarusians had to respond.” And given the balance of power and brutality of the Right Sector, the Russian army would have to come to the rescue, it was forced.
Now come on, impose sanctions on us. To whom, to Belarus? To Russia? So Ukraine was the first to start, and we are defending ourselves within the framework of the Union State, and why are you pestering us,” he said.
According to Alexey Arestovich, such a step will allow Russia to avoid or delay sanctions.
“Something similar to what happened in the CSTO. It is enough to take with you an Armenian company and a Tajik platoon for this to be a collective action of the CSTO in Kazakhstan. And it seems that it is inconvenient to impose sanctions, at least there is a wide field for discussion - is it possible to impose sanctions on international blocs, military-political organizations. This cannot be imposed on an individual country.
In general, any backlash that allows one to avoid sanctions or enter into long-term disputes, or reduce their intensity, is very suitable for the Kremlin in the event of its military aggression against Ukraine.
Therefore, we pay special attention to Belarus. And Lukashenko’s statement that we must do our best to strengthen the southern border smells bad to me personally. “What I fear most is provocations not in the Joint Forces Operation zone, but on the Belarusian border,” he concluded.
Arestovich explained how Russia could attack Ukraine and avoid sanctions.