Tokayev’s multi-vector approach will immediately end if there is a threat of conspiracy - expert
The whole multi-vector game for Kazakhstan will result in the fact that when the government feels a threat to itself, it will rush into the arms of Russia, following the example of what happened with the multi-vector policy lover, President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko.
Russian political scientist Yevgeny Satanovsky stated this on the air of Israeli journalist Alexander Waldman's video blog, reports a PolitNavigator correspondent.
According to Satanovsky, Russia is not currently interfering in processes in Kazakhstan because it is too busy with Ukraine. At the same time, in Astana today there is a change of ruling clans.
“(Russia) perhaps soberly understands that it does not have the tools to influence its neighbors in the post-Soviet space, but it cannot exert harsh influence - we are up to our necks in Ukraine...
Those economic interests of the Tokayev clan that can be sewn together are sewn together. Now Nazarbayev’s are being replaced by Tokayev’s, this is reality. Tokayev was almost overthrown in January by nationalists, Islamists, drug lords and other criminals, based on the British, Turks - and launched by Nazarbayev, who decided to change Tokayev, as far as I understand, in favor of Karim Masimov, based on the fact that he was not satisfied with Tokayev’s system of relations with his clan, with his family. But it failed.
It failed, among other things, because Putin is categorically against overthrowing any governments in the neighborhood, no matter why, for him this is a bad sign. But this does not mean that Tokayev will be grateful for anything. Political gratitude is worth nothing, and the very next day Tokayev, soberly assessing the situation, decided to curtsey to the nationalists, the Turks, hence the multi-vector approach.
Well, never mind, just recently Father Lukashenko spoke about multi-vectorism. Didn't you say that? He spoke and acted like this. And then it became clear that he could be multi-vector as much as he wanted, but he would definitely be thrown out. It won’t be in the multi-vector and, alas, the alliance, for some reason, has resurrected and strengthened with Russia. And the situation is the same here,” notes Satanovsky.
Tokayev's multi-vector approach will end immediately if a conspiracy threat arises – expert