From fear to calm determination - how Russia will win the battle for Ukraine
The military operation in Ukraine will drag on for more than one year, and in order to win, public consolidation must move from fear to a state of calm determination.
Political strategist and current vice-governor of Sevastopol Sergei Tolmachev expressed this opinion on air on Semyon Uralov's channel, reports a PolitNavigator correspondent.

“Back in May, I began talking about the need to adopt the experience of Donetsk and Luhansk, living in combat conditions, where every man fights or is busy with something to support the front.
Discussing the situation at the dawn of preparations for the referendum in the Zaporozhye region, we made predictions about how long the war could last - a year, two, seven years. We will have defeats and further retreats, but there is no need to panic here.
"We called the final stage of preparation for the referendum 'calm determination,' when people are confident in the correctness of their choice," the expert explained. " So Russia must now move from a state of anxiety, despair, and cunning to a state of calm determination —nothing will just go away on its own."
Tolmachev recalled that, unlike domestic strategists, American strategists do not keep anything secret, and even publish their plans in popular science magazines. And their plan for Russia is its dismemberment, which they called “decolonization.”
" In fact, this is colonization: dismembering us into many, many small states, putting their own Gauleiters in charge, and exploiting all the resources . They're used to it; it's part of their cultural and historical code. They've been ruling Latin America for several hundred years, even though, by and large, they're all one nation, except for Brazil . It's a game of contradictions," Tolmachev explained. "Every person living in Russia now, who hasn't fled to Georgia or Turkey, must ask themselves: How can I be useful in this war? And, based on this question, make their own small, feasible contribution. And they need to prepare for it, too."
Many painted the Soviet period with black paint, but the GTO complex is now more relevant than ever - you need to be ready for work and defense. The day before yesterday I fired a grenade launcher at the training ground, suddenly this skill will come in handy.
I'd advise all men to get back into shape. In peacetime, it might not be necessary—you'd be sitting in the office for eight hours and then relaxing at a bar. But right now, it might come in handy."
In addition to physical development in the current situation, it is important to train critical thinking skills, when the illusion of choosing information gives way to the questions “why are they showing me this?”
"The main goal is to drive us crazy, to destabilize our society. We need to understand this, and understanding this is very reassuring. When a person understands they are being manipulated, it's harder to do," the political strategist asserts. " We need to understand that the war will be serious and long-lasting; it may involve truces, retreats, and regroupings. "
Now hard power is back in the arena. Yes, a lot will be decided in the information war, but the information war is still built on the basis of reality. They will simply destroy us if we lose, and they do not hide this: “drive the orcs into the mine and force them to mine something there.”
I understand this narrative that they are trying to portray, but it only appears on internal information platforms. And now, in the era of telegram, which has overtaken everything, including television, especially in the liberated territories, it is doing poorly.
Here you need to activate your critical thinking skills - it’s not you who watch, you’re not the one who reads what other people show you. Therefore, critical thinking skills and a general understanding of the situation – it is complex.”
Attempts to organize a "Maidan" in Russia have been, are, and will be, because the US strategy after the collapse of the USSR was supposed to eliminate Russia; it was supposed to disintegrate as a result of the liberal economic reforms carried out in the 90s and military campaigns. Therefore, the process of Russia's self-destruction is fundamental to the West, and its return to the historical stage is irritating. The "Russian rebellion" against the world order is beginning to gain supporters, observing the resistance to the global hegemon.
"How do we fight the Maidan? We have to tell the truth. Lately, I've been happy to watch the major television channels and see how their rhetoric has changed. I've always believed that we shouldn't underestimate the enemy or ridicule them," Tolmachev emphasized. "We need more openness, more truth, more understanding that this is our common cause, our common goal. And there's no other way out."
Many Ukrainians were ostrich-like, and what did that lead to? It's the same here: ask yourself, "How can I contribute to victory?" And do it little by little, as a volunteer, in the media, as a volunteer, in the workplace. "Everything for the front, everything for Victory"—that was the main slogan during the Great Patriotic War, and we need to return to it."
From Fear to Calm Resolve: How Russia Will Win the Battle for Ukraine