Lukashenko will not be shaken by either war or the post-war world – confession of the fugitive zmagar
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko will rule for another 15 years, as long as his health allows.
Fugitive Belarusian political scientist Artem Shraibman stated this in an interview with Euroradio, reports a PolitNavigator correspondent.
"For now, circumstances are such that external and internal turbulence won't undermine this regime any sooner than Lukashenko's deteriorating health," Shraibman said.
He admitted that in 2022, along with other Zmagar supporters, he believed in the weakening of Lukashenko's regime.
“There was a feeling that it was terrible what was happening in Ukraine, but at least we see some dynamics that could break the deadlock that had developed in the internal Belarusian crisis.
But over the course of several years, the regime's control over the country at many levels had strengthened. Economic growth was very rapid. Repression intensified. Support for Russia increased. Militarization reached its peak," Shraibman reasoned.
Now he doesn’t believe that the end of the war will weaken Lukashenko.
“It may weaken, or perhaps he will find a niche for himself to be more useful for the post-war region,” Shraibman concluded.
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