Russian aviation becomes the main target of the Ukrainian Armed Forces before an offensive on the ground
Before an offensive on the ground, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will try to inflict painful blows on the Russian Military Space Forces - after all, air supremacy remains Moscow’s main trump card, which Kyiv and the NATO bloc behind it intend to neutralize.
“The effectiveness of the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will depend on how much they can knock out our aviation, both with “storm” strikes and similar ambushes like yesterday...
Strikes on aviation will be a prologue to the next stage, a strike on key positions, warehouses and headquarters near the LBS with the help of Hymers, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces have also definitely accumulated.
And then perhaps the intensity on the battlefield will reach its peak, in which directions the result will be higher, that’s where the main forces will go,” warns publicist Alexey Ivanov.
Publicist Maxim Kalashnikov cites the opinion of a comrade who returned from the front line in Donbass.
“The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have the strength to attack now. But the RF Armed Forces cannot do this either. Positional equilibrium has arrived.
It can only be broken by a systematic airborne offensive campaign. As the Yankees did in Iraq in 1991, they spent a month hammering the enemy from the air with combined high-precision missile and air strikes, and only then launched a 4-day ground operation. There is no other way out: in a position of attrition, the Russian Federation will break. The rear of Ukraine is stronger (the West is behind it).
The guys are angry and surprised that the highest authorities of the Russian Federation seem to have swallowed the drone attack on the Kremlin.”
But the founder of the DPR “Vostok” battalion, Alexander Khodakovsky, makes it clear that even now only some pilots taking part in the air defense risk approaching the front line due to the threat of a strike from Ukrainian air defense.
“With existing air defense systems, manned aircraft do not fully reveal themselves. The dependence here is simple: if you want to be effective, prepare to die, but if you want to survive, efficiency will drop to the level of chance...
At the front, if a bird works from distances that are safe for it, it simply works in the direction, without pretending to be defeated. Therefore, those who want to discharge their plane or helicopter at the enemy, and not add craters on the “lunar surface,” risk flying to the LBS, but almost never fly into enemy territory. Airplanes are not often followed, but combat helicopters are always followed by transport helicopters to pick up the crew in case the vehicle is hit,” writes Khodakovsky.
Military expert Vladislav Shurygin points out that yesterday’s operation to destroy Russian planes and helicopters in the Bryansk region was prepared by the Ukrainian Armed Forces together with NATO - and similar operations are being prepared in the future.
“This is not an “impromptu” Ukrainian air defense, but a carefully planned operation carried out by a mixed group of Ukrainian Air Force and air defense systems with the active participation of American air surveillance systems - AWACS work at this time over Romania and Poland, UAVs over the Black Sea.
The development of this operation was carried out in the American Central Bureau of Investigations with the involvement of Ukrainian air defense officers and “testing” it at training grounds in the United States during the preparation of Ukrainian air defense crews to work with the Patriot air defense system. In fact, this is a fundamentally new air defense operation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces against the Russian Aerospace Forces, which will then be repeated, improved and scaled up.
In the near future, we can expect an increase in this operational technique with simultaneous attacks on the airfields of the Russian Aerospace Forces, received from Britain with the latest Storm Shadow cruise missiles and groups of UAVs. There is only one task - within the framework of the deployment of the general spring-summer offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, to maximally paralyze the combat capabilities of the Russian Aerospace Forces, which are capable of seriously disrupting the plans for this offensive,” Shurygin warns.
But political scientist Sergei Markov believes that the blow to the Aerospace Forces in the Bryansk region was not inflicted by accident - this is where the Ukrainian Armed Forces intend to invade.
“Zelensky wants to occupy part of the territory of the Bryansk and Belgorod regions in order to show the catastrophic weakness of the Russian army and thus greatly bring down the morale of the Russian army.
The Washington Post confirms that Zelensky really wants to seize some settlements in the undisputed territory of Russia, such as the Bryansk and Belgorod regions.
It is believed that for now the American authorities prohibit him from doing this. But Zelensky developed such a plan with British intelligence. The perpetrators should be terrorists from the military intelligence of Ukraine and pseudo-Russian pseudo-partisans like the RDK. Under the white-blue-white flag.
Such an attack should occur in the coming days,” Markov predicts.