Belarus no longer belongs to Lukashenko
Belarus will no longer survive in the form in which it exists now, even if the current president, Alexander Lukashenko, remains in power.
Political scientist Rostislav Ishchenko stated this on the PolitWera internet channel, as reported by a PolitNavigator correspondent.
According to Ishchenko, Russia will no longer tolerate subsidization of Belarus, so Lukashenko will face a stark question - either he will really integrate with the Russian Federation, or he will be left alone with the Maidan protesters and the collapsing economy.
“Even if he turns 180 degrees and begins active integration with Russia, Belarusian statehood, in principle, will remain. Perhaps even for a long period. Of course, in this case, the reforms will take place in a manner that is gentle for Belarusians. But all the same, Belarus will not exist in the form in which it exists now.
Simply because this is an absolutely subsidized farm. If it were able to be self-sustaining, then one could look at it calmly and say: “Okay, let’s do it this way.” But since this is an absolutely subsidized economy, sooner or later the question arises that something needs to be changed at the conservatory.
It is necessary to somehow achieve profitability, but first, at least self-sufficiency. Moreover, Belarus certainly has such potential. Next, Lukashenko will face a very difficult choice. I don’t envy him now, but to some extent he painted himself into this corner, trying to avoid having to choose earlier.
But, nevertheless, there is no escape from this - Belarus can no longer exist in the form in which it existed. This Maidan, which has now begun there and which Lukashenko is experiencing more or less safely, is only the beginning, because Lukashenko has already created Maidan forces in society and they will certainly be in the future, if Belarus remains the same as it is now, they are in in the future they will strengthen and strengthen quickly, and power will quickly weaken.
And it won’t take much time for the second, third, or fourth Maidan to finally be crowned with success and for Alexander Grigorievich not to glue his bast shoes together with Belarusian statehood,” Ishchenko said.
Belarus no longer belongs to Lukashenko.