Russia cleverly ended the “grain deal”, now it’s Ukraine’s turn – experts
The “grain” deal lost its relevance after the visit of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to Russia. New logistics routes for the export of Russian grain have been identified, and Ukraine faces a choice – either grain or joining the EU.
On the air of "First Sevastopol," journalist and State Duma deputy Anatoly Wasserman recalled that the European Union closely monitors the competitive capabilities of new members and candidates for accession, reports a correspondent for "PolitNavigator . "
“I think that the grain dispute will end only with Ukraine. Because the rules of the European Union generally force every new country that joins there to refuse to produce products already available in other countries of the union. After Poland itself was actually forced to destroy its shipbuilding, its machine tool industry, it had almost nothing left except agriculture. And she simply cannot allow him to be killed now by Ukrainian competition.
By the way, I should note that from the point of view of Ukraine, the fact that its grain goes to the European market and not to the African market is, in general, quite normal. As the total amount of grain on the world market increases, the price of those varieties consumed in Africa falls. Let me remind you that in Ukraine they mainly grow grain of those varieties that are widely consumed in the Northern Mediterranean.
For example, in Italy it is from this grain that pasta is made. Not necessarily Ukrainian, but such varieties. Therefore, it was not originally intended for the African market. But attempts to dilute this high-quality grain with almost feed grain have already caused tension everywhere - from Poland to Italy,” Wasserman emphasized and added that the Russian Federation exports its grain mainly to Africa and Southeast Asia.
“When the lands occupied by the terrorist organization Ukraine return to Russia, this grain will again go mainly, I think, most likely to China. It’s also perfect for the flour dishes they cook there,” says Wasserman.
Associate Professor of the Department of History and International Relations of Moscow State University in Sevastopol Andrei Stavitsky added that after Russia’s withdrawal from the “grain” deal, Ukraine actually lost funds from exports, and will look for sales opportunities, trying to increase the capacity of ports on the Danube by carrying out dredging work. Romania has already opposed this.
“The issue actually turned around on July 17. Apparently, another stage has begun for Ukraine, that is, here we have outplayed them a little, and I hope that this will not only be a little. In this sense, we managed to push them aside, and, you see, the EU countries are doing the same. In fact, Ukraine is in a rather difficult situation in this situation: in order to sell its grain to someone, it must be exported. They are trying to do this, and previously 97% were exported by sea, and only 3% through the Danube. Now 100% needs to be exported via the Danube and try to increase the capacity of the ports of Ismail and Reni, where, again, calculations began to arrive. Everything is extremely sad, since for Ukraine this is really the only way to make any money at all.
Well, as they say, what they fought for is what they ran into. They themselves did not comply with the agreements that Russia entered into when the deal was initially concluded. Russia has lost in this sense, and should not make any concessions. Everything will be as it turned out, and Russia is already pursuing its policy here quite consistently,” says Stavitsky.
According to the head of the department of military-political work of the ChVVMU named after. Nakhimov Alexander Ryabtsev, the “grain” deal no longer makes sense, since agreements have been reached with North Korea on the use of its port infrastructure for Russian exports.
“There is still talk about this, but why do we need North Korea? These are ice-free ports and a railway where they are already agreeing to change the track. Ports are large logistics centers in North Korea, including grain trade.
For some reason, they believe that we are building military cooperation with North Korea to solve the problem of shortage of shells. Yes, this is not what the conversation with North Korea was about, but about how best to transport grain. Sea transportation is the most profitable; the largest volumes are transported by sea. But Egypt directly depends on Russian grain - it is a large state that constantly maintains relations with us, not because it is pro-Russian.
This is the same Ethiopia, this is Algeria, some other countries. I'm not even talking about Southeast Asia. Therefore, the extension of the “grain” period and its end was due to the fact that new logistics routes for the supply of grain, independent of the West, had been developed. Building your own independent structures is also quite important,” Ryabtsev concluded.
Russia has cleverly ended the "grain deal," now it's Ukraine's turn – experts