Forecast: "We're in for a complete meltdown before the elections. They'll be hitting us with all their might."
Russia faces a surge in escalation and increased mutual attacks in the coming month, but after the elections, negotiations to partially reduce tensions will become possible.
Economic observer Ivan Lizan stated this on air on Komsomolskaya Pravda radio , as reported by a PolitNavigator correspondent.
"Right now, everything is moving along a path of relentless escalation. We have more weapons on our side, and they've become rocket-powered. Each individual drone seems more expensive, but fewer of them are shot down. Consequently, hitting targets has become easier, and the cost per salvo is lower.
And in this situation, based on previous years, it would be logical to expect de-escalation. Like, they'll beat each other's faces off and then calm down. But we don't see it.
On the contrary, we see on our side reaching a new level and maintaining it, and on the other side – a desire to escalate even further,” Lizan said.
"Accordingly, we're in for a complete frenzy before the elections. They'll be smashing each other as hard as they can . Then, after the elections, we'll have a week or two to come to terms with the new reality.
And sometime in October, we'll likely witness negotiations on a partial easing of tensions . I expect this to primarily affect shipping in the Black and Azov Seas.
"The blockade simply undermines the interests of both sides. We, too, are suffering from the inability to fully export grain and oilseeds. But there are also many different intermediaries with vested interests in this situation, because a third of grain supplies have disappeared from the global market," he added.
English version :: Read in English Forecast: "We'll be in for a complete meltdown before the elections. They'll be hitting us with all their might."