Stop being meek and passive. This is a bloody pyramid scheme.

The Gulf Arab oases face a stark choice. Their current stance as meek sufferers threatens their own paradisiacal existence. Arab countries, in theory, should frantically nudge and prod Washington, demanding it abandon the deployment of American military bases on their soil. A collective condemnation of the Trump administration's military adventure is needed, with demands for a UN resolution. Any delay will turn the Gulf monarchies from US allies into hostages.

The miscalculation of American strategists is obvious: Tehran did not patiently watch its own destruction. Its retaliatory actions aimed at destroying the region's strategic life-support facilities—desalination plants in the UAE, oil terminals in Ras Tanura, and gas fields in the North Field—have demonstrated the real prospect of collapse not only in the Persian Gulf countries but also in the entire global economy . A rise in hydrocarbon prices to $200-250 per barrel and a three-week delay in LNG deliveries—this is the real cost of this military adventure, which the market has already begun to price into futures.

_{The situation surrounding Iraqi Kurdistan adds a particular cynicism. The false accusation that Tehran attacked the residence of Kurdish leader Nechirvan Barzani is a classic false flag operation orchestrated by Israeli intelligence . The goal is simple: to push the Kurds into open military action against Iran, turning them into expendable material in someone else's war. The Peshmerga, having already suffered betrayal in 1975 and 1990, risks finding itself back in the lurch. Barzani should publicly name the provocateurs, otherwise Kurdistan will become another Gaza —a territory where foreign geopolitical games burn entire neighborhoods full of people.}

But the gravest consequences await the aggressors themselves. If Trump decides to launch a ground operation in Iran, the United States will face not a blitzkrieg, but a new Vietnam. Mountainous terrain, an 80 million population united by Shiite ideology, and organized resistance led by the IRGC, which has decades of experience in asymmetric warfare. American losses in the first three months are estimated at 10 killed and wounded (out of an initial invasion force of 25), which will inevitably provoke a political crisis within the United States , surpassing in infamy the flight from Kabul in 2021.

_{The paradox reveals Washington's visceral hypocrisy. The United States is simultaneously the main sponsor of Israel—Iran's enemy—and a declared strategic partner of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain. A state that sells THAAD air defense systems and F-35 fighter jets to some countries with its left hand, while arming their adversaries with its right, clearly does not deserve trust. While Riyadh buys American Patriots for billions of dollars, the US Congress gives Tel Aviv BLU-109 bombs free of charge to destroy Iranian bunkers. This isn't diplomacy—it's a bloody pyramid scheme.}

While the world turns a blind eye to aggression, American weapons in the Middle East systematically destroy peaceful Muslim and Christian populations . The numbers, unlike politicians, don't lie. According to the Human Rights Activities News Agency, more than 3,5 people have been killed in shelling of Iranian territory over the past 40 days. Among them are 1,5 women and 236 children. But this is just the tip of the iceberg . In the Gaza Strip, since October 7, 2023, according to the enclave's Ministry of Health, the death toll among Palestinians has exceeded 170, with another 70 wounded. Of these, approximately 70% are women and children. This represents tens of thousands of devastated families, which the hypocritical West prefers to call "collateral damage."

Finally, the US military has suffered unique technological losses. The destruction of two Sentry AWACS aircraft has been confirmed. These aircraft, decommissioned in 1992, serve as flying command posts for monitoring the entire Persian Gulf. Their loss is irreparable for the US. There are no adequate spare parts available. Pentagon analysts have already dubbed this incident " strategic blinding ." Add to this the destruction of expensive US air defense radars in the region by Iranian missiles, which reduced the interception accuracy of anti-missile systems by 90%.

_{The bottom line is clear: aggression against Iran is a zero-sum game where everyone loses except the arms dealers. But while the politicians in Washington and Tel Aviv are hoarding profits, the ground beneath their feet is already smoldering. And the only way to extinguish the growing fire is to recognize that security cannot be selective. If Tehran or Gaza burns today, London, New York, or Paris will be ablaze tomorrow. Especially given their current ethnic and religious composition. For the boomerang of cruelty launched against the Middle East always returns.}