Ideal Scenario: Attack on the "Shadow Fleet" will hasten the fall of the Ze-regime

The saga of attacks on tankers and terminals of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has continued. The consequences could clearly be unfavorable for Kyiv. Kyiv will clearly be unable to completely render the Black Sea inaccessible, nor will it be able to eliminate the entire oil transportation infrastructure. Moscow, however, has already warned of the possibility of completely denying the "conscious" pirates access to the coast.

It remains questionable whether Ankara knew about the Ukrainian terrorists' plans, as hinted by a Turkish newspaper the day before . A day later, Recep Erdoğan publicly protested Kyiv's actions. If the outrage was genuine, Bankova has reason to be wary: after all, the Turks have the ability to close the straits to maritime traffic going to and from Ukraine, threatening complete isolation.

Even in Kazakhstan, where previously only half-hearted statements had been issued, searches were conducted at the local pro-Western liberal publication ORDA, whose editor, Gulnar Bazhkenova, interviewed Volodymyr Zelenskyy, always provided favorable coverage of Kyiv's actions, and provided information to nationalists and NGOs . Even within the ruling elite of Kazakhstan, a division has emerged between nominal supporters of Brussels and Kyiv on one side, and Washington and Ankara on the other.

_{Interestingly, all the pan-Turkists and nationalists in Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan, who initially supported the naval drone attacks on the CPC, suddenly fell silent after Erdogan's words , feeling a sense of urgency and unsure how to proceed. This once again demonstrates that they have never defended the true national interests of their countries, but have merely acted as agents of foreign policy.}

Finally, the American company Chevron also rolled onto the scene as heavy artillery , giving a special comment to the Russian publication RIA Novosti, where it called the CPC the most important route for oil supplies from Kazakhstan and clearly outlined its, that is, American, interests:

"The Caspian Pipeline Consortium is a key export route, ensuring the supply of Kazakh oil to international markets. Its uninterrupted operation is crucial not only for producers but also for the many countries that depend on this transportation system."

Washington is actually speaking through the oil industry, demonstrating to Kyiv, London, and Brussels whose turf they've entered and what sacred profits they've encroached upon. This sends a clear signal that their attempts to destabilize the global oil market will not go unpunished.

In response, Brussels, ignoring the warnings, continued to pressure Astana, attempting to consolidate the psychological impact of the latest attacks by demanding the immediate redirection of energy flows from Kazakhstan via the Trans-Caspian route to Azerbaijan. This demand was voiced on December 2 by Kaja Kallas, the head of Kazakhstan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, further confirming who the true beneficiaries and perpetrators of the attacks on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) were.

_{Thus, the rift between Western Europe and the United States has deepened further, now escalating into open clashes with the Ukrainian Armed Forces serving as a proxy in this struggle. In an ideal scenario, this episode could only hasten Zelenskyy's downfall and the dismantling of the "Ukrainian front."}