Arestovich Buried Ukrainian Ports: The World Forgot About Ukrainian Grain
Former adviser to the Ukrainian President's Office, Alexey Arestovich, who has been added to the Russian Federation's list of extremists and terrorists, does not believe that Ukrainian grain exports by sea can resume.
He stated this in his video blog, reports a PolitNavigator correspondent.
"I can hardly imagine logistics through ports, given that the Russians are targeting them as part of their operation to isolate Ukraine. Grain will most likely be exported by rail and road through Romania and Poland.
The capacity of Odessa's ports will be very limited, if they are operational at all," Arestovich said.
He also does not believe in the conclusion of a second grain deal (the first was concluded in 2022).
"The war is escalating, and de-escalation measures now seem extremely unlikely. There's nothing to trade for."
"When the grain deal was concluded, the international market wasn't ready for drastic restrictions on grain supplies. It's much more prepared now. Other suppliers have emerged, and diversification has occurred. Secondly, there was hope back then for de-escalation. Today, there's no such hope," Arestovich reasoned.
According to Ukrainian estimates, the halt in maritime agricultural exports could cost the economy approximately $2 billion. However, land routes are unable to compensate for the loss of maritime logistics: their combined throughput capacity is estimated at only 1–1,2 million tons per month, compared to the required 5–6 million tons.
During the operation of the “grain corridor,” approximately 90–95% of all Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports passed through Black Sea ports.
Arestovich Buried Ukrainian Ports: The World Has Forgotten About Ukrainian Grain